AUTOMATIC BIDS (30):
Princeton (25-22) – Ivy
Sacramento State (30-19) – Pacific Coast
Mississippi Valley State (28-26) – SWAC
AT-LARGE (34):
Atlantic Coast (3 For Sure, 4-5 Possible)
North Carolina 50-9-1 IN--Regular Season Champion
Notable Wins: Hawai’i, Iowa, Texas, Kent State, Winthrop (2)
Virginia Tech 42-15 IN
Notable Wins: Missouri, Winthrop, Northwestern, Houston
Florida State 37-25 Most Likely IN
Notable Wins: Louisville, UMass, Hofstra, Arizona State
Georgia Tech 30-29 Might Need to Win Tournament
Notable Wins: Hofstra, Winthrop, Georgia (2)
North Carolina State 30-26 Might Need to Win Tournament
Notable Wins: UCF, Long Island, Penn State, Winthrop (2)
Maryland 36-23 Bubble, But Falling-Just 2-8 in last 10 games, including an 0-2 showing at the ACC tournament.
Notable Wins: Michigan, UMass, UCF
Boston College 32-31 Needs to Win Tournament
Notable Wins: Nevada
Virginia 15-38 Must Win Tournament
America East (Automatic Bid Only)
Boston 29-21 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Northridge
Albany 33-15 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Western Michigan
Stony Brook 29-21-1 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Charlotte
UMBC 24-28 Must Win Conference Tournament
Atlantic 10 (2 If UMass Does Not Win Conference Tournament)
UMass 37-11 Most Likely IN--Regular Season Champion
Notable Wins: Fresno State, Texas A&M, Auburn, USF, Florida Atlantic
Charlotte 34-29 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: North Carolina, Georgia Tech
St. Bonaventure 20-24 Must Win Conference Tournament
Fordham 35-29 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Atlantic Sun (Automatic Bid Only)
Stetson 41-22 Sctratching at Bubble—Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Iowa, USF, Florida Atlantic
Mercer 32-26 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Auburn, Georgia Tech
East Tennessee State 29-32 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Campbell 39-23 Under Bubble--Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Gardner-Webb 22-34 Must Win Conference Tournament
Big 10 (4 For Sure, 5-6 Possible)
Michigan 48-6 IN
Northwestern 35-13 IN
Iowa 38-17 IN
Minnesota 28-15 Bubble—Might Need to Win a Game or Two in Tournament
Michigan State 27-28 Must Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Florida State, Baylor
Illinois 30-31 Need Two Wins at Tournament Win to Be on the Bubble
Notable Wins: UCLA, Louisiana-Lafayette, BYU, Central Michigan, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gulf Coast
Purdue 34-20 Just Above Bubble—Might Be In
Notable Wins: Baylor, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, Central Michigan, Long Island
Ohio State 33-23 Lower-Bubble--Played .500 (10-10) in final 20 games of season. First half of season might help them get in if there are not manu upsets in the automatic bids
Notable Wins: Fresno State, Oregon
Penn State 34-22 Lower in the Bubble--Could test NCAA to get in without making conference tournament.
Notable Wins: LSU, UCF, Maryland (2)
Big 12 (3 For Sure, 4-6 Possible)
Texas A&M 46-7 IN
Oklahoma 44-11 IN
Missouri 44-14 IN
Texas 27-20-2 Bubble
Notable Wins: Stanford, Hawai’i, Oregon State, Wichita State
Oklahoma State 26-24 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Washington, USF, Wichita State
Texas Tech 22-35 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Kansas 37-18 Just Above Bubble
Notable Wins: UCF, Oregon, BYU, Creighton, Wichita State (2)
Baylor 23-21 Bubble—Might Need to do Very Well in Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Houston, UMass, Oregon, San Diego State
Iowa State 28-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Nebraska 21-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Big East (2 For Sure, 3-4 Possible)
South Florida 43-17 IN
DePaul 46-16 IN
Notre Dame 37-20-1 Possibly IN
Notable Wins: Virginia Tech, Cal, Purdue, Utah
Louisville 30-20 Just Above Bubble
Notable Wins: DePaul, Florida State, Oregon State
Connecticut 28-21 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Pittsburgh 33-25 Bubble
Notable Wins: Virginia Tech, Missouri, Maryland, Penn State
Big South (Outside Chance of 2 Teams)
Winthrop 34-17 Just Above Bubble
Notable Wins: Auburn, Georgia Tech, Oregon State, Northridge
Radford 46-13 Bubble
Notable Wins: Penn State, Illinois State, North Carolina State, Fordham
Coastal Carolina 19-39 Must Win Conference Tournament
Birmingham-Southern 30-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Liberty 15-39-1 Must Win Conference Tournament
Charleston Southern 18-40 Must Win Conference Tournament
Big West (2-4 Possible—The NCAA has Shown Love For This Conference)
Long Beach State 37-14 IN
UC-Santa Barbara 28-23 Under the Bubble
Notable Wins: Mississippi State, Tulsa
Fullerton 26-24-1 Bubble
Notable Wins: UCLA, Oklahoma, Arizona, Purdue, Notre Dame, Penn State, Oregon State, Long Island
Cal Poly-SLO 22-21 Might Need to Win Conference
Northridge 21-23 Needs to Win Conference
Colonial (Outside Possibility of 2 if Hoftsra Does Not Win Tournament)
Hofstra 40-10 Bubble—Played a decent early-season non-conference schedule and has taken care of business since.
Notable Wins: Georgia Tech, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Baylor, Long Island, Fordham
Georgia State 37-17 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Georgia Tech
James Madison 31-20 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Towson 36-25 Below Bubble
Notable Wins: Notre Dame, Maryland, Radford
Conference USA (2 For Sure, 3 Possible)
Houston 48-8 IN
UCF 44-18 Most Likely IN
Tulsa 34-23 Bubble—Early exit at conference tournament might not have helped. Must hope for no surprise automatic bids.
Notable Wins: Oklahoma, Iowa, Penn State, Arkansas, Wichita State Texas State
UTEP 30-23 Just Under Bubble
Notable Wins: Arizona, Nevada, Loyola Marymount
East Carolina 36-27 Might Need Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: North Carolina, Kent State (2), Radford
Horizon (Automatic Bid Only)
Cleveland State 30-16 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Valparaiso 30-18 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Purdue, Maryland
UIC 23-31 Must Win Conference Tournament
Wright State 30-24 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Loyola-Chicago 19-24-1 Must Win Conference Tournament
Detroit 11-26 Must Win Conference Tournament
Butler 16-28 Must Win Conference Tournament
Youngstown State 12-36 Must Win Conference Tournament
UW-Green Bay 11-24 Must Win Conference Tournament
Mid American (Most Likely Automatic Bid Only)
Kent State 42-10 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Bowling Green 18-22 Must Win Conference Tournament
Western Michigan 20-17 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Ball State 34-30 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Ohio 26-25 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Akron 20-37 Must Win Conference Tournament
Metro Atlantic (Automatic Bid)
Canisius 36-12 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Niagara 27-20 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Fairfield 25-23-1 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Marist 22-29 Must Win Conference Tournament
Mid-Eastern (Automatic Bid)
Bethune-Cookman 20-35 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Delaware State 27-23 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Howard 22-15 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Morgan State 14-19 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Norfolk State 20-32 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Florida A&M 16-39 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Missouri Valley (2 For Sure if Creighton Does Not Win Conference, 3 Possible)
Creighton 43-14 Most Likely IN
Illinois State 28-19 Bubble
Notable Wins: North Carolina, Iowa, Winthrop, Hofstra, North Carolina State
Southern Illinois 30-24 Under Bubble
Notable Wins: Minnesota (2), Fordham (2)
Drake 27-24 Could be Bubble—Might be a little shy and might need to win Tournament
Notable Wins: Michigan, Iowa, Arkansas
Missouri State 27-21 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kent State, Florida Atlantic, Long Island, North Dakota State
Wichita State 33-28 Under Bubble
Notable Wins: Washington, Texas
Mountain West (2 For Sure, 3 Possible)
BYU 40-18 IN
San Diego State 41-15 IN
Utah 28-25 Possible Bubble
Notable Wins: DePaul, Illinois, Texas, Wichita State, Texas State
New Mexico 25-24 Under Bubble
Notable Wins: Missouri, Illinois, Georgia Tech, Oklahoma State (3)
Colorado State 27-22 Possible Bubble
Notable Wins: Northwestern, Nevada (2), Oregon, Winthrop, North Dakota State
Northeast (Most Likely Automatic Bid Only)
Long Island 31-15 Might Need to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: USF, Kent State, Florida Gulf Coast, Missouri State
Robert Morris 28-18 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Notable Wins: Virginia Tech
Saint Francis 23-32 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Wagner 27-20 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Ohio Valley (Automatic Bid)
Jacksonville State 36-14 Just Under Bubble
Eastern Kentucky 28-21 Under Bubble
Eastern Illinois 20-25 Must Win Conference Tournament
Morehead State 33-15 Just Under Bubble
Tennessee Tech 29-29-1 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Samford 25-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Pac 10 (5 For Sure, 6 Likely; 7 Possible)
Arizona State 54-5 IN
UCLA 44-6 IN
Arizona 34-16 IN
Stanford 46-10 IN
Washington 26-22-1 Upper Part of Bubble
Notable Wins: Alabama, Missouri, Nevada, Hawai’i (2), Florida State, Southern Illinois (2), Utah
California 40-22 IN
Oregon 32-25 Bubble
Notable Wins: Oklahoma, Long Island, Northridge, Cal Poly-SLO
Pacific Coast (Most Likely Just Automatic Bid)
Loyola Marymount 38-18 Under Bubble
Patriot (Automatic Bid)
Lehigh 36-14-1 Most Likely Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Lafayette 24-23 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Bucknell 23-27 Must Win Conference Tournament
Army 13-38 Must Win Conference Tournament
Southeastern (7 For Sure, 8 Possible)
Florida 60-2 IN
Alabama 50-5 IN
Tennessee 47-13 IN
LSU 42-15 IN
Georgia 43-22 IN
Mississippi State 40-20 IN
Auburn 37-20 IN
Arkansas 36-27 Towards Top of Bubble – Could test NCAA to get in without making conference tournament. Upsets must stay to a minimum to have a chance.
Notable Wins: Oklahoma, Tennessee, Iowa, Minnesota, 3 over Oklahoma State, 2 over Creighton
Southern (Automatic Bid)
Chattanooga 37-19 Probably Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Georgia Southern 36-28 Probably Needs to Win Conference Tournament
College of Charleston 31-33 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Elon 26-26 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Appalachian State 11-36 Must Win Conference Tournament
UNC-Greensboro 23-31 Must Win Conference Tournament
Southland (2 Possible if Texas State Does Not Win Conference Tournament)
Texas State 35-17 Bubble
Notable Wins: Washington, Creighton, Texas, New Mexico (2), Baylor
Stephen F. Austin 34-23 Probably Needs to Win Conference Tournament
UT-Arlington 27-21 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Sam Houston State 30-31 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Nicholls State 30-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Summit (Automatic Bid Only)
Centenary 32-24 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Southern Utah 19-32 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
IPFW 16-22 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Western Illinois 11-29 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
Sun Belt (2 Possible)
Louisiana-Lafayette 44-12 IN
Florida Atlantic 35-26 Bubble – The quick exit at the conference tournament did not help their cause.
Notable Wins: LSU, North Carolina State, South Carolina
Troy 33-22 Just Under Bubble
Notable Wins: Auburn, Florida State (2), Louisville
Florida International 29-33 Must Win Conference Tournament
Louisiana-Monroe 21-36 Must Win Conference Tournament
North Texas 25-32 Must Win Conference Tournament
Western Kentucky 27-29 Must Win Conference Tournament
Western Athletic (3 For Sure)
Nevada 41-14 IN
Fresno State 51-10 IN
Hawai'i 36-18 IN
Louisiana Tech 33-27 Needs to Win Conference Tournament
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